Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.958362 1.089636 1.232647 1.400073 1.590793 1.801388 2.051723
2025-12-14 0.726279 0.897380 1.099990 1.357865 1.677795 2.062273 2.560358
2025-12-21 0.605033 0.792041 1.026707 1.343332 1.760338 2.292158 3.024180
2025-12-28 0.541296 0.742914 1.008219 1.383760 1.903293 2.599143 3.606191
2026-01-04 0.472344 0.675125 0.953071 1.363081 1.954869 2.781766 4.031573
2026-01-11 0.433560 0.642708 0.940093 1.395399 2.078210 3.069500 4.627890
2026-01-18 0.394083 0.603832 0.912168 1.400476 2.158749 3.298670 5.156284
2026-01-25 0.354912 0.560590 0.872336 1.381657 2.198383 3.466351 5.602448
2026-02-01 0.318403 0.517319 0.827512 1.349198 2.211177 3.590207 5.986682
2026-02-08 0.286834 0.478537 0.785574 1.316223 2.218080 3.702344 6.358440
2026-02-15 0.268082 0.458762 0.772088 1.327979 2.298705 3.940469 6.962670
2026-02-22 0.245396 0.430091 0.740988 1.306348 2.319175 4.076790 7.399879
2026-03-01 0.220244 0.396952 0.702919 1.275644 2.332920 4.223982 7.913596
2026-03-08 0.196160 0.363629 0.661958 1.236916 2.330957 4.348485 8.412166
2026-03-15 0.178867 0.340633 0.636766 1.223708 2.373564 4.557309 9.092890
2026-03-22 0.170132 0.332635 0.638136 1.260461 2.514892 4.966881 10.215329
2026-03-29 0.155538 0.311683 0.612638 1.241662 2.543990 5.159491 10.918951
2026-04-05 0.147935 0.303715 0.611420 1.271042 2.673257 5.565675 12.116018
2026-04-12 0.138417 0.290809 0.598946 1.275658 2.750961 5.872996 13.135837
2026-04-19 0.127706 0.274286 0.577368 1.258549 2.779913 6.079328 13.955242
2026-04-26 0.116932 0.256517 0.551395 1.229041 2.778114 6.217903 14.635629
2026-05-03 0.107179 0.239987 0.526438 1.199062 2.771735 6.344936 15.303106
2026-05-10 0.101602 0.232196 0.519774 1.209750 2.859805 6.695875 16.548943